St-Hilaire vs Almeida
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joaquim Almeida Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $547.0K | No liquidity66.7% | — | — | — | — | — | |
Maxime St-Hilaire | 1.0%Kalshi | $618.6K | No liquidity39.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market covers a first-round men's professional tennis match at the 2026 M15 Rochester NY event, pitting Maxime St-Hilaire against Joaquim Almeida in the Round of 32. On Kalshi, the binary market resolves Yes if St-Hilaire wins after a ball has been played; a cancellation before play begins would resolve the market at $0.50. The event is also listed on Azuro, which offers a wider set of side markets including handicaps, totals and odd/even game counts. The head-to-head pricing points overwhelmingly to Almeida. Kalshi has him at 99.0% to win, with St-Hilaire at just 1.0%, on volume of roughly $1.16 million and around $531,000 in liquidity. Azuro's straight winner market, however, prices Almeida at only 66.7% and St-Hilaire at 39.5% — a striking divergence, though Azuro shows zero volume and zero liquidity on this event, which limits how much weight to give those quotes. The takeaway across platforms: Kalshi's liquid, high-volume market treats Almeida as an almost-certain winner at 99.0%, while Azuro's untraded book implies a far closer contest, leaving Kalshi as the more informative reference for this match.
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