St. Louis vs Toronto
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Toronto Blue Jays Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $2.0M | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Ivan Herrera: 1+ | 9.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lars Nootbaar: 1+ | 8.0%Kalshi | $10.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Masyn Winn: 1+ | 7.0%Kalshi | $184 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Brandon Valenzuela: 1+ | 5.0%Kalshi | $221 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nathan Church: 1+ | 4.0%Kalshi | $591 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
José Fermín: 1+ | 4.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jimmy Crooks: 1+ | 3.0%Kalshi | $8.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kazuma Okamoto: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $2.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jordan Walker: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $7.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
George Springer: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $4.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Daulton Varsho: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $13.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
JJ Wetherholt: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $847 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ernie Clement: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $290 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Andrés Giménez: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $196 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
St. Louis Cardinals | 0.1%Polymarket | $2.5M | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Alec Burleson: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $22.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jesús Sánchez: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $239 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nathan Lukes: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $186 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This is a live game in progress on July 31, 2026. The snapshot from MLB.com (result 3) shows STL leading 1-0 after 5 innings, with Dylan Cease pitching for Toronto. The market is very active with the game underway. Let me now write the description. This MLB matchup at Rogers Centre pits the visiting St. Louis Cardinals (54–55) against the Toronto Blue Jays (50–59) in the series opener of a three-game set scheduled for July 31 at 7:07 PM ET. On Polymarket, the moneyline market resolves to whichever team wins the full game. Kalshi hosts the highest-volume full-game market — asking whether St. Louis wins — alongside a wide array of prop and totals markets covering first-five innings, spreads, player performance for Dylan Cease and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and run totals at various thresholds. The Cardinals are the narrow consensus favourite at 52.0% on the full-game moneyline, though the two platforms diverge slightly: Polymarket has St. Louis at 55.0% while Kalshi prices them at 52.0%, a 3.0-point cross-platform spread. Toronto's implied win probability sits at 44.7% on Polymarket versus 49.0% on Kalshi — a 4.3-point gap, the widest spread in this slate. The first-five-innings market on Kalshi puts St. Louis ahead at 72.0%, with Toronto winning the first five at just 17.0%, consistent with the in-game situation: the score stood at STL 1, TOR 0 heading into the bottom of the fifth, with Cease on the mound. The series opener carries added weight as it leads into the trade deadline, with both clubs on the fringes of wild-card contention and a sweep this weekend potentially influencing whether either team decides to sell before Monday's deadline. Kalshi dominates volume here with over $2.8M across its markets, dwarfing Polymarket's modest moneyline liquidity. The modest Cardinals edge and the live score align, but the Kalshi–Polymarket spread on Toronto's odds is the most notable pricing discrepancy across all platforms.
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