Taiwan rate decision in December — Dec 17, 2026 meeting
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cut 1-12.5bps No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity7.0% | — | — | — | — |
Hike 1-12.5bps No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity36.0% | — | — | — | — |
Cut more than 12.5bps No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity6.0% | — | — | — | — |
Hike more than 12.5bps No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity8.0% | — | — | — | — |
Maintain current rate No liquidity | — | $50 | — | No liquidity67.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For Taiwan, only changes to the discount rate announced by the Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) count. Changes solely to the rate on refinancing of secured loans or the rate on temporary accommodations do not count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
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