Tech layoff rate in August — In Aug 2026
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| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 1.2% | — | $209 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 1.5% | — | $469 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 2.1% | — | $200 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 0.9% No liquidity | — | $10 | — | No liquidity95.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 1.8% No liquidity | — | $29 | — | No liquidity34.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 2.4% No liquidity | — | $34 | — | No liquidity12.0% | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
For purposes of this market, “tech layoffs” refers exclusively to the layoffs and discharges rate for the Information industry reported in FRED series JTU5100LDR. This is a monthly, not seasonally adjusted rate expressed as a percentage. The market will resolve using the first value published for the specified month; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
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