Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — total deliveries in Q3 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 440000 Winner | Won | $8.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 445000 Winner | Won | $2.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 450000 Winner | Won | $7.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 455000 Winner | Won | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 460000 Winner | Won | $7.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 465000 Winner | Won | $7.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 470000 Winner | Won | $14.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 475000 Winner | Won | $17.8K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 480000 Winner | Won | $24.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 485000 Winner | Won | $13.8K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 490000 | Lost | $9.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 495000 | Lost | $7.5K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 500000 | Lost | $15.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 505000 | Lost | $6.6K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 510000 | Lost | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 515000 | Lost | $7.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 520000 | Lost | $3.0K | — | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.
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