Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 17, 2026 — October 17, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 49,000 MW Winner | Won | $553 | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 49,500 MW Winner | Won | $56 | — | No liquidity98.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 50,000 MW No liquidity | Lost | $114 | — | No liquidity4.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 50,500 MW No liquidity | Lost | $3 | — | No liquidity2.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 51,000 MW No liquidity | Lost | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 51,500 MW No liquidity | Lost | $1.1K | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 52,000 MW No liquidity | Lost | — | — | No liquidity9.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 52,500 MW No liquidity | Lost | $145 | — | No liquidity2.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 53,000 MW No liquidity | Lost | $201 | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 53,500 MW No liquidity | Lost | $104 | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 54,000 MW No liquidity | Lost | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 54,500 MW No liquidity | Lost | $50 | — | No liquidity3.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 55,000 MW No liquidity | Lost | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 55,500 MW No liquidity | Lost | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 56,000 MW No liquidity | Lost | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 56,500 MW No liquidity | Lost | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 57,000 MW No liquidity | Lost | $1.0K | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 57,500 MW No liquidity | Lost | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 58,000 MW No liquidity | Lost | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.
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