Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 4, 2026 — October 4, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 58,000 MW Winner | — | $2.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 58,500 MW Winner | — | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 59,000 MW Winner | — | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 59,500 MW Winner | — | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 60,000 MW Winner | — | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 60,500 MW | — | $790 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 61,000 MW | — | $389 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 61,500 MW | — | $426 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 62,000 MW | — | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 62,500 MW | — | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 63,000 MW | — | $562 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 63,500 MW | — | $411 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 64,000 MW | — | $416 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 64,500 MW | — | $331 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 65,000 MW | — | $302 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 65,500 MW | — | $323 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 66,000 MW | — | $351 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 66,500 MW | — | $101 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 67,000 MW | — | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 4, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.
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