Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 23, 2026 — September 23, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 80,500 MW Winner | Won | $300 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 81,000 MW Winner | Won | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 81,500 MW Winner | Won | $684 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 82,000 MW Winner | Won | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 82,500 MW Winner | Won | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 83,000 MW Winner | Won | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 83,500 MW Winner | Won | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 84,000 MW Winner | Won | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 84,500 MW Winner | Won | $675 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 85,000 MW Winner | Won | $8.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 85,500 MW | Lost | $4.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 86,000 MW | Lost | $6.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 86,500 MW | Lost | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 87,000 MW | Lost | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 87,500 MW | Lost | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 88,000 MW | Lost | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 89,000 MW | Lost | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 88,500 MW No liquidity | Lost | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 23, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.
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