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Settled

Texas Super Kings vs Washington Freedom

Starts:Jul 11, 2026, 8:30 PMEnds:Jul 18, 2026, 4:30 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:Washington FreedomSettled Jul 12, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.3% (140,236)
Total volume
$4.4M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
2
Markets
2

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Washington FreedomWinner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$2.3M
Texas Super Kings
0.1%Best · Polymarket$2.2M

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

This is a Major League Cricket T20 match between the Texas Super Kings and Washington Freedom, played on July 11, 2026 at Grand Prairie Cricket Stadium in Dallas. On Kalshi and Polymarket, the match-winner market is the primary focus, with Kalshi also hosting run-total props. The markets appear to still be live at the snapshot timestamp (July 12), but the match has already concluded. Washington Freedom won by 1 wicket in what proved to be a dramatic finish. Mitchell Owen set up Freedom's chase with 77 off 35 before the match hurtled towards a chaotic finish. Nikhil Chaudhary's last-ball six trumped Akeal Hosein's hat-trick to seal the result for Freedom. Given all that, here is the market description: --- This market covers the Major League Cricket T20 fixture between the Texas Super Kings and Washington Freedom, played on July 11, 2026 at Grand Prairie Cricket Stadium in Dallas. The match-winner market is listed on both Kalshi and Polymarket, while Kalshi additionally hosts run-total props for each side. The winner market asks simply whether Texas Super Kings or Washington Freedom claimed the official result. At the snapshot, the match-winner market is essentially split, with Kalshi pricing both sides at 51.0%. Polymarket tells a sharply different story: it has Washington Freedom at 56.0% and Texas Super Kings at just 39.0% — a notable 12-point spread on the Texas side and a 5-point spread on Washington. This divergence is the widest cross-platform gap in the snapshot and likely reflects in-play information being priced faster on one venue than the other. The run-total props on Kalshi paint a high-scoring picture, with Texas Super Kings crossing 159.5 runs at 99.0% and Washington Freedom clearing 129.5 at 95.0%, though Freedom over 189.5 sits at just 1.0%. Washington Freedom ultimately won by 1 wicket in a thriller, with Nikhil Chaudhary's last-ball six trumping Akeal Hosein's hat-trick in the final over — context that explains why Polymarket had already leaned toward Freedom while Kalshi remained near even, underscoring the value of cross-platform monitoring in live cricket markets.

Updated Jul 12, 2026, 12:01 AMclaude-sonnet-4-6cross-platform favourite flipped

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Category

SportsCricket

Tags

generalSportsCricketTexasSuperKingsWashingtonFreedomgamesMajor League Cricket