The Last Resort vs BASEMENT BOYS

This closed market covered a Counter-Strike 2 match between BASEMENT BOYS and The Last Resort in Group B of the European Pro League Series 8, originally scheduled for July 7. A "Yes" on BASEMENT BOYS resolved if they won the best-of-three; a "Yes" on The Last Resort resolved the other way. Kalshi also ran a Map 1 sub-market and Polymarket offered map-total Over/Under lines. Heading into tip-off, BASEMENT BOYS were the modest favourite. Consensus pricing across Kalshi and Polymarket clustered around 57.0%–59.0% for BASEMENT BOYS, with The Last Resort sitting at roughly 41.0%–43.0%. The cheapest entry on the favourite was 57.0% on Polymarket versus 59.0% on Kalshi, and the two venues aligned tightly with essentially no cross-platform spread on the headline match line. Polymarket's map-total market leaned Under, with the Under trading around 42.5% as the more probable side once liquidity concentrated. Post-close prints on both venues (Kalshi 99.0% BASEMENT BOYS, Polymarket 99.9% BASEMENT BOYS) indicate the favourite converted and the market resolved in their favour. With roughly $12.3K in combined volume and liquidity depth heavier on Polymarket, this was a smaller-tier esports book, but pricing was orderly: a mid-single-digit edge to BASEMENT BOYS that held from open to resolution. The cross-platform takeaway is a clean consensus — both books agreed on BASEMENT BOYS as a ~58% favourite, and the result confirmed that read.