Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli

This market covers the Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli match at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, listed across Polymarket, Polymarket US, Kalshi, Azuro, Limitless and Gemini. Beyond the straight moneyline, the aggregated markets also price game spreads, total games, set-by-set winners and exact match scores. A moneyline outcome resolves to whichever player advances; retirements resolve to the player who advances, while walkovers or full cancellations resolve 50-50 on Polymarket and Limitless. On the moneyline, Flavio Cobolli is the current favourite at a consensus 65.5%, but the cross-platform picture is much tighter than that headline suggests. Polymarket US has him at 45.0%, Polymarket at 48.0%, Azuro at 47.6%, Limitless at 54.5% and Gemini at 55.0% — a 21.0-point spread between the cheapest and richest quotes. Tommy Paul sits at a consensus 55.5%, with Kalshi at 56.0%, Polymarket US at 56.0%, Azuro at 59.5%, Polymarket at 52.0% and Gemini at 47.0%. On totals, Kalshi has Over 17.5 games at 87.0% and Over 22.5 games at 45.0%, while Paul -2.5 games trades at 82.0%. The takeaway: books broadly lean toward a competitive match with a slight Paul tilt, but the wide moneyline spread shows platforms genuinely disagree on who is favoured.