Top AI model in September? — On Sep 30, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
claude-opus-5-high | — | $12.5K | — | — | — | — | — | |
claude-opus-5-max | — | $24.3K | — | — | — | — | — | |
claude-opus-4-6-thinking | — | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | |
claude-opus-4-7 | — | $4.5K | — | — | — | — | — | |
claude-fable-5 | — | $183.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
claude-fable-5.1-max | — | $24.4K | — | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
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