Settled
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/29 - 7/5) — 6/29 - 7/5
Starts:Jun 30, 2026, 2:00 PMEnds:Jul 7, 2026, 1:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$242.3K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
10
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 50 Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $4.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 100 Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $10.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 125 Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $6.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 150 Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $16.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 175 Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $44.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 200 Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $67.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 225 | 5.0%Kalshi | $33.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 300 | 4.0%Kalshi | $10.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 250 | 1.0%Kalshi | $26.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 275 | 1.0%Kalshi | $23.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Above 50Winner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$4.3K
Above 100Winner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$10.2K
Above 125Winner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$6.0K
Above 150Winner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$16.2K
Above 175Winner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$44.1K
Above 200Winner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$67.2K
Above 225
5.0%Best · Kalshi$33.3K
Above 300
4.0%Best · Kalshi$10.9K
Above 250
1.0%Best · Kalshi$26.8K
Above 275
1.0%Best · Kalshi$23.1K
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Jun 29, 2026 to Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jun 29, 2026 to Jul 5, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.