Settled
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12) — 7/6 - 7/12
Starts:Jul 6, 2026, 5:30 PMEnds:Jul 14, 2026, 1:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$446.4K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
9
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 100 Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $56.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 125 | 1.0%Kalshi | $76.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 150 | 1.0%Kalshi | $133.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 175 | 1.0%Kalshi | $93.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 200 | 1.0%Kalshi | $53.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 225 | 1.0%Kalshi | $12.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 250 | 1.0%Kalshi | $8.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 275 | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 300 | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Above 100Winner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$56.2K
Above 125
1.0%Best · Kalshi$76.6K
Above 150
1.0%Best · Kalshi$133.6K
Above 175
1.0%Best · Kalshi$93.9K
Above 200
1.0%Best · Kalshi$53.2K
Above 225
1.0%Best · Kalshi$12.6K
Above 250
1.0%Best · Kalshi$8.3K
Above 275
1.0%Best · Kalshi$7.4K
Above 300
1.0%Best · Kalshi$4.7K
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 100 from Jul 6, 2026 to Jul 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 6, 2026 to Jul 12, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
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