US 2Y Treasury yield at 5:00am ET? — Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00am ET
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 4.76% Winner | — | — | — | — | No liquidity94.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.77% No liquidity | — | $100 | — | — | No liquidity16.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.78% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.79% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.80% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.81% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.82% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.83% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.84% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.85% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.86% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.87% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.88% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
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