US 30Y Treasury yield at 4:00pm ET? — Oct 9, 2026 at 4:00pm ET
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 5.55% Winner | — | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 5.56% Winner | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.57% Winner | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.58% Winner | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.59% Winner | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.60% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.61% No liquidity | — | $1 | — | — | No liquidity4.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.62% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.63% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.64% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.65% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.66% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.67% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.68% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.69% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.70% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.71% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
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