Settled
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026 — Q2 2026
Starts:Jul 30, 2026Ends:Jul 30, 2026, 12:29 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$27.0K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
5
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 5% Winner | Won | $8.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 7.5% Winner | Won | $957 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 10% | Lost | $5.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 12.5% | Lost | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 15% | Lost | $9.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Above 5%Winner
WonResult
Above 7.5%Winner
WonResult
Above 10%
LostResult
Above 12.5%
LostResult
Above 15%
LostResult
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q2 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.