US employer health insurance cost growth in Q4 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 4.5% No liquidity | — | $13 | — | No liquidity98.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.0% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity98.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.5% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity91.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 6.0% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity73.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 6.5% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity41.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 7.0% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity16.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 7.5% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity8.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market uses the 12-month percentage change in health-benefit costs for private-industry workers published in the BLS Employment Cost Index, not seasonally adjusted and in current dollars. Q4 2026 refers to the 12 months ending December 2026, not the change during the quarter. Resolution uses the first officially published value at BLS’s reported precision. Subsequent revisions are ignored. This statistic measures national employer health-benefit cost growth, not a particular employer’s insurance premium renewal increase. Delayed or unavailable data will be handled under the governing contract.
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