Live
US hourly earnings growth in October — October 2026
Starts:Oct 1, 2026, 11:00 PMEnds:Nov 6, 2026, 1:29 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$1
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
7
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 0.0% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity97.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 0.1% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity93.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 0.2% No liquidity | — | $1 | — | — | No liquidity93.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 0.3% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity94.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 0.4% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity90.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 0.5% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity80.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above -0.1% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity91.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 0.0%No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity97.0%
Above 0.1%No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity93.0%
Above 0.2%No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity93.0%
Above 0.3%No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity94.0%
Above 0.4%No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity90.0%
Above 0.5%No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity80.0%
Above -0.1%No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity91.0%
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Resolution will use the monthly percentage change in average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls stated in the initial Employment Situation release for the reference month. The measure is seasonally adjusted and is not adjusted for inflation. The percentage change will be used at BLS’s published precision, rather than recalculated from the hourly earnings dollar amounts. Subsequent revisions will not affect the outcome.
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