US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report — Nov 11, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above -10% No liquidity | — | $31 | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above -8% No liquidity | — | $236 | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above -6% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity97.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above -4% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity91.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above -2% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity80.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 0% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity64.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 2% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity45.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity30.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 6% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity19.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 8% No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity13.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 10% No liquidity | — | $185 | — | No liquidity9.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions.
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