US Treasury cash balance on October 16, 2026
Markets
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| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above $750 billion Winner | Won | $263 | — | — | No liquidity90.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above $775 billion Winner | Won | $136 | — | — | No liquidity90.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above $800 billion Winner | Won | $42 | — | — | No liquidity87.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above $825 billion Winner | Won | $300 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above $850 billion Winner | Won | $15 | — | — | No liquidity90.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above $875 billion Winner | Won | $690 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above $900 billion Winner | Won | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above $925 billion Winner | Won | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above $950 billion | Lost | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above $975 billion | Lost | $241 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above $1,000 billion | Lost | $615 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 16, 2026. The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied. The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date.
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