US unemployment rate at year-end 2028 — December 2028
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 9.0% | 9.0%Kalshi | $900 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 9.5% | 8.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 10.0% | 7.0%Kalshi | $500 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
“Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31. The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2028. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
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