US unemployment rate at year-end 2036 — December 2036
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 3.0% No liquidity | — | $2 | — | — | No liquidity94.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 3.5% No liquidity | — | $2 | — | — | No liquidity85.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.0% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity80.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 4.5% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity74.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.0% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity69.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 5.5% No liquidity | — | $2 | — | — | No liquidity63.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 6.0% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity58.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 6.5% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity52.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 7.0% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity47.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 7.5% No liquidity | — | $3 | — | — | No liquidity41.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 8.0% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity36.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 8.5% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity30.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 9.0% No liquidity | — | $4 | — | — | No liquidity25.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 9.5% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity19.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 10.0% No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity14.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
“Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31. The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2036. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
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