USD share of global FX reserves in Q2 2026
Markets
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| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 55.5% Winner | Won | $44 | — | No liquidity2.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 56.0% Winner | Won | $50 | — | No liquidity2.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 56.5% Winner | Won | $118 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 57.0% | Lost | $174 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 57.5% No liquidity | Lost | $0 | — | No liquidity23.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 58.0% No liquidity | Lost | $9 | — | No liquidity9.0% | — | — | — | — |
Above 58.5% No liquidity | Lost | $21 | — | No liquidity8.0% | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Underlying is the percentage share attributed to the U.S. dollar for “World” in the International Monetary Fund’s Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves (“COFER”) dataset for Q2 2026. The Underlying will be rounded to the nearest 0.1 percentage point. If the Underlying is exactly halfway between two values, it will be rounded to the value farther from zero. If the International Monetary Fund changes the name, presentation, or location of the relevant series without materially changing what it measures, the corresponding successor series may be used.
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