Weis vs Ghazouani Durand

This market covers the men's singles semifinal between Alexander Weis and Yanis Ghazouani Durand at the 2026 M25 Bastia-Lucciana ITF event in France. A market resolves to whichever player advances; on Kalshi, a "Yes" pays out if Weis wins after a ball has been played, while Polymarket and Azuro list each player as a named outcome. Kalshi and Polymarket have set out standard fallbacks for walkovers, retirements, and cancellations. Ghazouani Durand is the clear favourite on the two main platforms pricing the head-to-head: Kalshi has him at 99.0% and Polymarket at 96.3%, with Weis correspondingly at 2.0% on Kalshi and 3.7% on Polymarket. Kalshi accounts for the bulk of activity, with roughly $270,800 in volume against just $3,600 on Polymarket, while Azuro shows liquidity on side markets (totals, handicaps, sets) but negligible volume on the outright. The notable spread is Azuro versus the rest: Azuro's outright pricing implies Weis is the favourite at 76.3% and Ghazouani Durand only 31.2%, essentially the opposite of Kalshi and Polymarket. Across the deepest markets the consensus is a heavy Ghazouani Durand favourite, but Azuro's thin outright pricing sits well outside that line.