What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Ohio? — JD Vance - remarks on the Trump Administration’s America First economic agenda
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | 99.0%Kalshi | $7.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 99.0%Kalshi | $5.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Biden | 99.0%Kalshi | $7.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Manufacturing | 99.0%Kalshi | $5.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Border | 99.0%Kalshi | $2.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Trump (3+ times) | 99.0%Kalshi | $13.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Steel | 99.0%Kalshi | $9.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | 99.0%Kalshi | $37.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Election | 99.0%Kalshi | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
China / Chinese | 99.0%Kalshi | $5.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tariff | 99.0%Kalshi | $10.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Investment / Invested | 99.0%Kalshi | $15.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Inflation | 99.0%Kalshi | $9.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Healthcare | 99.0%Kalshi | $9.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI / Artificial Intelligence Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $17.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fraud | 1.0%Kalshi | $21.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Illegal Alien | 1.0%Kalshi | $18.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Economy / Economic | 1.0%Kalshi | $15.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 1.0%Kalshi | $15.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Big Beautiful Bill | 1.0%Kalshi | $10.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Made in America / American Made | 1.0%Kalshi | $21.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
America First | 1.0%Kalshi | $46.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Working Class / Middle Class | 1.0%Kalshi | $19.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Stock Market | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Radical Left | 1.0%Kalshi | $25.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Event does not qualify | 1.0%Kalshi | $24.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Video of the remarks on the Trump Administration’s America First economic agenda will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks on the Trump Administration’s America First economic agenda will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details. Event does not qualify: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — JD Vance must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify). Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
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