What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks? — Kevin Warsh - remarks at the 2026 Economic Policy Symposium
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Productivity | 99.0%Kalshi | $10.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI / Artificial Intelligence Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $9.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
2008 / Financial Crisis | 99.0%Kalshi | $12.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Forward Guidance | 99.0%Kalshi | $6.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Inflation | 99.0%Kalshi | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Price Stability / Stable Price | 99.0%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Task Force | 99.0%Kalshi | $5.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Independent / Independence | 1.0%Kalshi | $10.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 1.0%Kalshi | $12.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Good Day | 1.0%Kalshi | $6.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Volcker | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Footprint | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Recession | 1.0%Kalshi | $8.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Oil | 1.0%Kalshi | $10.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tariff | 1.0%Kalshi | $8.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | 1.0%Kalshi | $34.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rate Cut / Cut Rate | 1.0%Kalshi | $6.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Stock Market | 1.0%Kalshi | $13.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Iran / Middle East | 1.0%Kalshi | $6.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Powell | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Event does not qualify | 1.0%Kalshi | $6.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Stablecoin | 1.0%Kalshi | $23.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gold | 1.0%Kalshi | $9.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Trump | 1.0%Kalshi | $29.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rate Hike / Hike Rate | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Balance Sheet | 1.0%Kalshi | $8.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Bond Market | 1.0%Kalshi | $10.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yield Curve | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Quantitative Tightening / QT | 1.0%Kalshi | $260 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Video of the remarks at the 2026 Economic Policy Symposium will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at the 2026 Economic Policy Symposium will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details. Event does not qualify: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Kevin Warsh must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify). Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
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