Live
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? — On Oct 28, 2026
Starts:Sep 16, 2026, 10:00 PMEnds:Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$57.8K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
47
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Central Bank Favorite | 91.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Good Day | 91.0%Kalshi | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Restrictive | 85.0%Kalshi | $6.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Shock | 82.0%Kalshi | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Productivity | 82.0%Kalshi | $6.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI / Artificial Intelligence | 78.0%Kalshi | $5.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Inflation Expectation | 73.0%Kalshi | $317 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Uncertainty | 70.0%Kalshi | $3.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Anchor / Anchored | 70.0%Kalshi | $765 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Geopolitical | 67.0%Kalshi | $541 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Balance Sheet | 64.0%Kalshi | $544 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
President | 59.0%Kalshi | $242 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Oil | 59.0%Kalshi | $265 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Credit | 57.0%Kalshi | $11.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Commodity | 49.0%Kalshi | $383 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Projection | 45.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dollar | 41.0%Kalshi | $349 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Unchanged | 36.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pandemic | 34.0%Kalshi | $177 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | 25.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Risk Management | 20.0%Kalshi | $224 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Probability | 18.0%Kalshi | $237 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Iran | 16.0%Kalshi | $460 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Softening | 16.0%Kalshi | $107 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Recession | 14.0%Kalshi | $114 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Good Afternoon | 13.0%Kalshi | $274 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dissent | 11.0%Kalshi | $193 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Diesel | 12.0%Kalshi | $239 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
ADP | 12.0%Kalshi | $160 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tax | 10.0%Kalshi | $193 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Event does not qualify | 9.0%Kalshi | $364 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Trump | 6.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Consumer Confidence | 6.0%Kalshi | $129 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
National Debt | 5.0%Kalshi | $396 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Renovation | 4.0%Kalshi | $395 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Bitcoin | 4.0%Kalshi | $196 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gold | 3.0%Kalshi | $277 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Central BankFavorite
91.0%Best · Kalshi$4.6K
Good Day
91.0%Best · Kalshi$2.8K
Restrictive
85.0%Best · Kalshi$6.9K
Shock
82.0%Best · Kalshi$3.7K
Productivity
82.0%Best · Kalshi$6.3K
AI / Artificial Intelligence
78.0%Best · Kalshi$5.8K
Inflation Expectation
73.0%Best · Kalshi$317
Uncertainty
70.0%Best · Kalshi$3.4K
Anchor / Anchored
70.0%Best · Kalshi$765
Geopolitical
67.0%Best · Kalshi$541
Balance Sheet
64.0%Best · Kalshi$544
President
59.0%Best · Kalshi$242
Oil
59.0%Best · Kalshi$265
Credit
57.0%Best · Kalshi$11.4K
Commodity
49.0%Best · Kalshi$383
Projection
45.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
Dollar
41.0%Best · Kalshi$349
Unchanged
36.0%Best · Kalshi$1.2K
Pandemic
34.0%Best · Kalshi$177
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
25.0%Best · Kalshi$1.1K
Risk Management
20.0%Best · Kalshi$224
Probability
18.0%Best · Kalshi$237
Iran
16.0%Best · Kalshi$460
Softening
16.0%Best · Kalshi$107
Recession
14.0%Best · Kalshi$114
Good Afternoon
13.0%Best · Kalshi$274
Dissent
11.0%Best · Kalshi$193
Diesel
12.0%Best · Kalshi$239
ADP
12.0%Best · Kalshi$160
Tax
10.0%Best · Kalshi$193
Event does not qualify
9.0%Best · Kalshi$364
Trump
6.0%Best · Kalshi$1.2K
Consumer Confidence
6.0%Best · Kalshi$129
National Debt
5.0%Best · Kalshi$396
Renovation
4.0%Best · Kalshi$395
Bitcoin
4.0%Best · Kalshi$196
Gold
3.0%Best · Kalshi$277
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
How this is resolved Video of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used. Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.
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