What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite keynote? — Satya Nadella - Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST)
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Copilot No liquidity | — | $0 | — | — | No liquidity91.0% | — | — | — | — |
Frontier No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity89.0% | — | — | — | — |
GitHub No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity81.0% | — | — | — | — |
Agent 365 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity75.0% | — | — | — | — |
Cybersecurity No liquidity | — | $100 | — | — | No liquidity66.0% | — | — | — | — |
Azure No liquidity | — | $99 | — | — | No liquidity79.0% | — | — | — | — |
Cowork No liquidity | — | $1 | — | — | No liquidity64.0% | — | — | — | — |
Sovereign Cloud No liquidity | — | $78 | — | — | No liquidity53.0% | — | — | — | — |
Foundry No liquidity | — | $82 | — | — | No liquidity61.0% | — | — | — | — |
OpenAI No liquidity | — | $19 | — | — | No liquidity47.0% | — | — | — | — |
Anthropic / Claude No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity40.0% | — | — | — | — |
Autopilot No liquidity | — | $92 | — | — | No liquidity53.0% | — | — | — | — |
NVIDIA No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity40.0% | — | — | — | — |
Scout No liquidity | — | $33 | — | — | No liquidity35.0% | — | — | — | — |
Mistral No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity32.0% | — | — | — | — |
Event does not qualify No liquidity | — | $78 | — | — | No liquidity5.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
How this is resolved Video of the Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Microsoft Ignite opening keynote originally scheduled for November 17, 2026 (scheduled session: 1–3 PM EST) will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Satya Nadella speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
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