Settled
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Worldwide on Oct 11, 2026
Starts:Oct 10, 2026, 8:00 PMEnds:Oct 11, 2026, 11:59 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$26.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
10
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magnitude of at least 5.2 Winner | Won | $1.9K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 5.4 Winner | Won | $6.1K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 5.6 Winner | Won | $4.3K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 5.8 Winner | Won | $2.4K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 6.0 Winner | Won | $1.9K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 6.2 Winner | Won | $5.4K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 6.4 No liquidity | Lost | $2.0K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 6.6 No liquidity | Lost | $384 | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 6.8 No liquidity | Lost | $804 | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 7.0 No liquidity | Lost | $1.3K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 5.2Winner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 5.4Winner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 5.6Winner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 5.8Winner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 6.0Winner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 6.2Winner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 6.4No liquidity
LostResult
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Magnitude of at least 6.6No liquidity
LostResult
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Magnitude of at least 6.8No liquidity
LostResult
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Magnitude of at least 7.0No liquidity
LostResult
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
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