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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 8, 2026? — Worldwide on Oct 8, 2026

Starts:Oct 7, 2026, 8:00 PMEnds:Oct 8, 2026, 11:59 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Tech & Science favorite hit rate90.4% (13,315)
Total volume
$24.7K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
10
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Magnitude of at least 5.2Winner
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 5.4Winner
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 5.6Winner
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 5.8Winner
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 6.0Winner
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 6.2Winner
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 6.4No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity7.0%
Magnitude of at least 6.6No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Magnitude of at least 6.8No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Magnitude of at least 7.0No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.

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Category

Tech & Science