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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 9, 2026? — Worldwide on Oct 9, 2026
Starts:Oct 8, 2026, 8:00 PMEnds:Oct 9, 2026, 11:59 PM
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Total volume
$5.3K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
10
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magnitude of at least 5.2 Winner | — | $2.5K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 5.4 Favorite | 52.0%Kalshi | $916 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 5.6 | 34.0%Kalshi | $163 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 5.8 | 23.0%Kalshi | $104 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 6.0 | 15.0%Kalshi | $192 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 6.2 | 11.0%Kalshi | $101 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 6.4 | 6.0%Kalshi | $136 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 6.6 | 5.0%Kalshi | $252 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 6.8 | 6.0%Kalshi | $329 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 7.0 | 3.0%Kalshi | $612 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 5.2Winner
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Magnitude of at least 5.4Favorite
52.0%Best · Kalshi$916
Magnitude of at least 5.6
34.0%Best · Kalshi$163
Magnitude of at least 5.8
23.0%Best · Kalshi$104
Magnitude of at least 6.0
15.0%Best · Kalshi$192
Magnitude of at least 6.2
11.0%Best · Kalshi$101
Magnitude of at least 6.4
6.0%Best · Kalshi$136
Magnitude of at least 6.6
5.0%Best · Kalshi$252
Magnitude of at least 6.8
6.0%Best · Kalshi$329
Magnitude of at least 7.0
3.0%Best · Kalshi$612
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
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