Settled
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 20, 2026? — Worldwide on Sep 20, 2026
Starts:Sep 19, 2026, 8:00 PMEnds:Sep 20, 2026, 11:59 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$11.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
10
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magnitude of at least 5.2 Winner | Won | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 5.4 | Lost | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 5.6 | Lost | $815 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 5.8 | Lost | $646 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 6.0 | Lost | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 6.2 | Lost | $765 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 6.4 | Lost | $2.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 6.6 | Lost | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 6.8 | Lost | $652 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Magnitude of at least 7.0 | Lost | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Magnitude of at least 5.2Winner
WonResult
Magnitude of at least 5.4
LostResult
Magnitude of at least 5.6
LostResult
Magnitude of at least 5.8
LostResult
Magnitude of at least 6.0
LostResult
Magnitude of at least 6.2
LostResult
Magnitude of at least 6.4
LostResult
Magnitude of at least 6.6
LostResult
Magnitude of at least 6.8
LostResult
Magnitude of at least 7.0
LostResult
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
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