What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? — Donald Trump - Midterm Rally in Mobile, Alabama originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Transgender Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $53.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $25.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fake News Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $36.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $22.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Healthcare Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $9.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Save America Act Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $33.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Iran (5+ times) Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $25.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dividend / Stimulus Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $15.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
America First Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $35.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
China / Chinese Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $16.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fraud Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $5.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $10.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Space Force Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $25.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Russia / Ukraine Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $35.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Barack Hussein Obama Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $34.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Made in America / American Made Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $15.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gulf of America Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $25.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
MAGA / Make America Great Again Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $13.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hottest Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $13.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Saban Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $20.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
ICE | 1.0%Kalshi | $29.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sanctuary | 1.0%Kalshi | $11.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Deport / Deported / Deportation | 1.0%Kalshi | $49.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Supreme Court | 1.0%Kalshi | $27.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0%Kalshi | $281.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Trump Account | 1.0%Kalshi | $24.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Israel / Israeli | 1.0%Kalshi | $42.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
TrumpRX | 1.0%Kalshi | $14.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Drill Baby Drill | 1.0%Kalshi | $29.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ceasefire | 1.0%Kalshi | $129.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Crypto / Bitcoin | 1.0%Kalshi | $99.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sleepy Joe | 1.0%Kalshi | $80.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fentanyl | 1.0%Kalshi | $31.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Data Center | 1.0%Kalshi | $46.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hormuz | 1.0%Kalshi | $37.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Filibuster | 1.0%Kalshi | $9.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Event does not qualify | 1.0%Kalshi | $21.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Egg | 1.0%Kalshi | $15.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Mobile, Alabama originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Mobile, Alabama originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
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