When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — In 2027
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Dec 2026 Favorite | 73.0%Kalshi | $400 | — | — | — | — | — | |
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The President announcing that a member of the Cabinet will leave the Cabinet also qualifies. Susie Wiles' departure as Chief of Staff, announced on Nov 6, 2026 before Issuance, does not count. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included.
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