When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index? — Any AI model from any lab
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Jan 1, 2027 Favorite | 77.0%Kalshi | $569 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Dec 1, 2026 | 48.0%Kalshi | $402 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
A qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Epoch AI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
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