When will AP call the Alaska Senate election? — Nov 3, 2026 election
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Nov 19 Favorite | 99.0%Kalshi | $798 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jan 4 | 99.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Nov 14 | 27.0%Kalshi | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Nov 18 | 24.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Nov 11 | 8.0%Kalshi | $276 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, or equivalent clear language indicating AP has determined the winner. The phrase "projected to win" alone is insufficient; it must be AP's clear election call. The call must appear on one of AP's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is its primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market resolves to Yes based on the call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify.
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