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When will Canada lower tariffs on the US? — Canadian tariffs on the US

Starts:Sep 8, 2026, 10:00 PMEnds:Apr 1, 2027, 3:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$2.9K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
5
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Before Jan 1, 2027Favorite
58.0%Best · Kalshi$225
Before Dec 1, 2026
46.0%Best · Kalshi$325
Before Nov 1, 2026
31.0%Best · Kalshi$330

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

Only reporting from the Prime Minister of Canada qualifies for the purposes of this market. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. The publication must expressly commit Canada to reduce, remove, or suspend an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods. It must be an official speech, statement, or press release issued personally or in the prime minister's name. A specified future effective date qualifies. Minister- or agency-only announcements, negotiating objectives, noncommittal statements of intent that do not expressly commit Canada, general aspirations, preliminary discussions, threats, conditional proposals, and the automatic activation or expiry of a previously announced measure do NOT qualify. A new decision reversing an earlier tariff policy qualifies only if it reduces, removes, or suspends an existing tariff. Reports merely referencing publications before Issuance do NOT qualify unless they explicitly reaffirm a qualifying new decision made after Issuance.

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Category

Politics