When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? — 2028 President of the United States race
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Oct 1, 2027 Favorite | 75.0%Kalshi | $883 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jul 1, 2027 | 70.0%Kalshi | $233 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Apr 1, 2027 | 54.0%Kalshi | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 17.0%Kalshi | $3.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
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