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When will Google release Gemini 4?

Starts:Aug 24, 2026, 8:48 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Tech & Science favorite hit rate90.4% (13,315)
Total volume
$324.1K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
8
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Before Jan 1, 2027Favorite
98.0%Best · Kalshi$1.5K
Before Dec 1, 2026
97.0%Best · Kalshi$9.0K
Before Dec 15, 2026
95.0%Best · Kalshi$2.2K
Before Nov 15, 2026
87.0%Best · Kalshi$5.7K
Before Nov 1, 2026
85.0%Best · Kalshi$30.1K
Before Oct 16, 2026
46.0%Best · Kalshi$95.1K

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

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Category

Tech & Science