When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? — In 2025
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before 2035 Favorite | 87.8%Kalshi | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before 2030 | 61.9%Kalshi | $10.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before 2029 | 28.4%Kalshi | $51.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before 2028 | 12.0%Kalshi | $141.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before 2027 | 3.9%Kalshi | $122.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem. The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples). Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify. If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award. The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.
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