Which bills will become law in 2026? — Before Jan 1, 2027
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Protect College Sports Act Favorite | 41.0%Kalshi | $46.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions | 39.0%Kalshi | $3.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
ADS-B revenue-use restriction | 32.0%Kalshi | $509 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Export-control chip security | 29.0%Kalshi | $16.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI-chip export licensing | 15.0%Kalshi | $12.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Railway safety bill | 17.0%Kalshi | $8.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act | 13.0%Kalshi | $31.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Insulin cost cap | 17.0%Kalshi | $4.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee | 12.0%Kalshi | $7.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Data center utility cost protection | 13.0%Kalshi | $15.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Surface transportation reauthorization | 11.0%Kalshi | $15.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
NO FAKES Act | 11.0%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years) | 11.0%Kalshi | $155.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Critical-minerals stockpile | 9.1%Kalshi | $15.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Credit-card routing competition | 12.0%Kalshi | $20.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
$2.50 Coin | 8.9%Kalshi | $23.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
White House ballroom funding | 9.0%Kalshi | $12.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
ROTOR Act | 9.8%Kalshi | $14.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty | 7.0%Kalshi | $8.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Smithsonian Women’s History Museum | 8.0%Kalshi | $9.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Film/TV production expensing | 11.0%Kalshi | $15.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dignity Act | 9.0%Kalshi | $18.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jewish American security | 7.0%Kalshi | $6.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
E15 year-round sales | 7.0%Kalshi | $30.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
JAWBONE Act | 8.0%Kalshi | $2.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
SHOWER Act | 7.1%Kalshi | $22.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Trump Airport | 4.9%Kalshi | $35.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
DEFIANCE Act | 4.5%Kalshi | $18.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
SELF DRIVE Act | 3.8%Kalshi | $27.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday | 2.6%Kalshi | $23.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Clarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify. Clarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that "authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom," even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.
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