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Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028

Starts:Aug 24, 2026, 9:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2028, 4:59 AM
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Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$2.8K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
10
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

ManitobaFavorite
65.0%Best · Kalshi$400
Quebec
10.0%Best · Kalshi$200

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A snap election is one called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest date legally required. The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call the election and must specify an actual election date. Where a province has no fixed election date in force, the reference date is the latest date on which the election is legally required, being five years from the return of the writs for that province's most recent general election A province holding its already-scheduled fixed-date election is NOT a snap election Each province's market resolves on its own call only. A snap election in one province does NOT resolve any other province's market Yes It does not matter whether the early election follows a lost confidence vote or a premier's own choice

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Category

Politics