Live
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? — In 2026
Starts:Jan 1, 2026, 5:01 AMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$470.6K
Largest spread
11.5%
Outcomes
15
Platforms
2
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OpenAI Widest spread 11.5% | 10.0%Kalshi | $186.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
Meta | 11.0%Kalshi | $50.9K | — | — | — | — | ||
xAI | 8.0%Kalshi | $109.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
Baidu | 5.0%Kalshi | $12.7K | — | — | — | — | ||
Deepseek | 6.0%Kalshi | $25.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
Yes | 5.0%Polymarket US | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alibaba | 4.0%Kalshi | $20.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
ByteDance | 4.0%Polymarket US | $7.5K | — | — | — | — | ||
Mistral | 4.0%Kalshi | $4.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Moonshot | 4.0%Polymarket US | $6.2K | — | — | — | — | ||
Z.ai | 3.0%Kalshi | $8.3K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nvidia | 3.0%Kalshi | $36.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Amazon | 3.0%Polymarket US | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
01A1 | 3.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
OpenAIWidest spread 11.5%
10.0%Best · Kalshi$186.8K
Meta
11.0%Best · Kalshi$50.9K
xAI
8.0%Best · Kalshi$109.8K
Baidu
5.0%Best · Kalshi$12.7K
Deepseek
6.0%Best · Kalshi$25.8K
Yes
5.0%Best · Polymarket US
Alibaba
4.0%Best · Kalshi$20.1K
ByteDance
4.0%Best · Polymarket US$7.5K
Mistral
4.0%Best · Kalshi$4.9K
Moonshot
4.0%Best · Polymarket US$6.2K
Z.ai
3.0%Best · Kalshi$8.3K
Nvidia
3.0%Best · Kalshi$36.2K
Amazon
3.0%Best · Polymarket US
01A1
3.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
A detailed summary of this event hasn't been generated yet. Once available, it will explain the context, key contenders, and what each outcome resolves to.
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