Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unusual Machines Favorite | 41.0%Kalshi | $8.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Anduril | 31.0%Kalshi | $192.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Neros Technologies | 23.0%Kalshi | $9.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Performance Drone Works | 16.0%Kalshi | $7.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
TSMC | 14.0%Kalshi | $28.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Anthropic | 12.0%Kalshi | $98.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
OpenAI | 12.0%Kalshi | $94.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
IonQ | 11.0%Kalshi | $31.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Eli Lilly | 11.0%Kalshi | $14.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Micron | 10.0%Kalshi | $29.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Palantir | 11.0%Kalshi | $82.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nvidia | 11.0%Kalshi | $59.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lockheed Martin | 9.0%Kalshi | $59.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pfizer | 10.0%Kalshi | $11.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Boeing | 9.0%Kalshi | $29.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Freeport-McMoRan | 8.0%Kalshi | $9.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
TikTok US | 7.0%Kalshi | $10.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Spirit Airlines | 4.0%Kalshi | $307.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.
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