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Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? — December 2026 vs December 2025

Starts:Sep 13, 2026, 11:00 PMEnds:Feb 18, 2027, 8:55 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Markets favorite hit rate90.4% (3,109)
Total volume
$14.4K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
12
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

United KingdomFavorite
98.0%Best · Kalshi$2.5K
India
61.0%Best · Kalshi$945
Norway
44.0%Best · Kalshi$401
South Korea
38.0%Best · Kalshi$303
Mainland China
17.0%Best · Kalshi$8.6K
Japan
17.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

For this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date. Values will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”

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