Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? — December 2026 vs December 2025
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United Kingdom Favorite | 98.0%Kalshi | $2.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
India | 61.0%Kalshi | $945 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Norway | 44.0%Kalshi | $401 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
South Korea | 38.0%Kalshi | $303 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Mainland China | 17.0%Kalshi | $8.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Japan | 17.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
For this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data. Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date. Values will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding. Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership. For row matching, “Mainland China” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “South Korea” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.