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Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Starts:Jan 6, 2026, 3:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
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Total volume
$79.9K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
18
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Uganda Favorite | 36.0%Kalshi | $678 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Democratic Republic of the Congo | 16.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Syria | 16.0%Kalshi | $8.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lebanon | 12.0%Kalshi | $8.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yemen | 9.6%Kalshi | $3.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
South Sudan | 6.0%Kalshi | $533 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Iraq | 7.7%Kalshi | $2.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Russia | 7.2%Kalshi | $3.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Iran | 7.0%Kalshi | $32.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Afghanistan | 6.2%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ukraine | 5.9%Kalshi | $7.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Burma (Myanmar) | 4.9%Kalshi | $194 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gaza | 4.9%Kalshi | $419 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Libya | 4.9%Kalshi | $279 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Haiti | 4.5%Kalshi | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sudan | 3.0%Kalshi | $265 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
North Korea | 3.0%Kalshi | $324 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Somalia | 2.9%Kalshi | $7.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
UgandaFavorite
36.0%Best · Kalshi$678
Democratic Republic of the Congo
16.0%Best · Kalshi$1.0K
Syria
16.0%Best · Kalshi$8.5K
Lebanon
12.0%Best · Kalshi$8.2K
Yemen
9.6%Best · Kalshi$3.1K
South Sudan
6.0%Best · Kalshi$533
Iraq
7.7%Best · Kalshi$2.0K
Russia
7.2%Best · Kalshi$3.4K
Iran
7.0%Best · Kalshi$32.5K
Afghanistan
6.2%Best · Kalshi$1.8K
Ukraine
5.9%Best · Kalshi$7.0K
Burma (Myanmar)
4.9%Best · Kalshi$194
Gaza
4.9%Best · Kalshi$419
Libya
4.9%Best · Kalshi$279
Haiti
4.5%Best · Kalshi$1.9K
Sudan
3.0%Best · Kalshi$265
North Korea
3.0%Best · Kalshi$324
Somalia
2.9%Best · Kalshi$7.8K
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.
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