Live
Which G7 leader will leave office next? — G7 Leaders
Starts:Jul 20, 2026, 7:30 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2045, 3:00 PM
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Total volume
$24.9K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
7
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emmanuel Macron Favorite | 72.0%Kalshi | $3.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Friedrich Merz | 28.0%Kalshi | $9.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Donald Trump | 7.0%Kalshi | $7.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Andy Burnham | 4.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Mark Carney | 3.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sanae Takaichi | 3.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Emmanuel MacronFavorite
72.0%Best · Kalshi$3.2K
Friedrich Merz
28.0%Best · Kalshi$9.0K
Donald Trump
7.0%Best · Kalshi$7.2K
Andy Burnham
4.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
Mark Carney
3.0%Best · Kalshi$1.1K
Sanae Takaichi
3.0%Best · Kalshi$1.0K
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient. In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.
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