Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ron Wyden | 31.0%Kalshi | $986 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pete Sessions | 32.0%Kalshi | $564 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Susan Collins | 17.0%Kalshi | $973 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nancy Pelosi | 5.6%Kalshi | $11.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
David Rouzer | 3.9%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Larry Bucshon | 3.9%Kalshi | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
David Kustoff | 3.7%Kalshi | $9.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Underlying for this Contract is the identity of the member of Congress with the greatest percent difference in the value of their assets in their end of year report for 2025 compared to the previous year (2025 value minus the previous year's value, all divided by the previous year's value, times one hundred). This will be calculated using Congress' annual personal financial disclosures (OGE Form 278e). Because each asset is given as a range of values in the disclosures, we use the midpoint of each range as an estimated value for that asset. The midpoint is calculated by taking the lower bound of the reported range plus the upper bound, and dividing by two. For example, if an asset is reported in the $15,001 – $50,000 range, the midpoint used would be $32,500.5 (the average of 15,001 and 50,000). In cases where the disclosure uses an open-ended top category (for instance, some forms list "Over $50,000,000" as the highest category for an asset value, with no upper limit), we will assign a value of $50,000,001 for that asset.
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