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Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? — Before 2045

Starts:Sep 12, 2026, 10:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2045, 4:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$2.0K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
5
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Hodge ConjectureFavorite
54.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
39.0%Best · Kalshi$425

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs: A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal. The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work. At least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work. If multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.

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